IPCC Climate Report - Synthesis or Synthetic?
2007 report the 'last hurrah' for alarmists - cooler times ahead?
The Synthesis report to be released on 17th November is the fourth and final part of the 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment. The IPCC claim 90 per cent confidence in flawed computer modelled climate predictions and that most of the warming in the past 50 years is due to human activity. Calls will be made for deep, damaging and costly cuts in CO₂ emissions by developed nations, further underpinning the suspicion that the UN IPCC is more about wealth redistribution than climate change. The warnings from the likes of Prins and Rayner ¹
that the Kyoto Protocol was the wrong policy in the past, and is the wrong policy for the future, will go unheeded. Adaptation to inevitable, natural climate change and the development of secure energy sources is the only cost effective way forward.
The IPCC process, which turns uncertain science into political advocacy, has attracted criticism from objective climate scientists from both inside and outside the IPCC. Roger Pielke Sr resigned ²
from the US Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) in 2005. He resigned from the IPCC in 1995, due to the narrow focus on CO₂ and has attacked the cherry-picked science ³ ⁴
in the current report. IPCC author John Christy ⁵
has recently stated that:
"Atmospheric carbon dioxide continues to increase due to the undisputed benefits that carbon-based energy brings to humanity. This increase will have some climate impact through CO2's radiation properties. However, fundamental knowledge is meagre here, and our own research indicates that alarming changes in the key observations are not occurring. We should always begin our scientific pronouncements with this statement: 'At our present level of ignorance, we think we know...' "
ABD environment spokesman Ben Adams said:
"1998 remains the warmest year on record globally and even that was boosted by the natural phenomenon 'El Nino.' The highest solar activity for over 1000 years is already coming to an end and the next 11-year solar cycle is running late. The scene is set for a significant period of global cooling ⁶ by 2020, yet our policymakers heed the false alarm call of continued warming by an IPCC that admits to a 'low' or 'very low' level of scientific understanding (LOSU) of the link between solar factors and climate. Motorists can expect to continue climbing the fuel duty escalator - and for no good reason."